Archive for the ‘ Hawaii Real Estate ’ Category

By Jon Yamasato

This month’s Oahu Real Estate Report covers sales and median price numbers for April 2009, and also features how interest rates affect your buying power.

Over the past three-month rolling period, February to April 2009, sales numbers were down compared to the same period in 2008. Oahu median prices have also declined compared to the same rolling 3-month period last year. Median prices for single-family homes dropped 7.1% to $585,000 and Condominiums have dropped 6.2% to $305,000. Prudential’s Oahu Real Estate Report looks at both monthly numbers as well as a rolling 3-month period as it provides better indicators of certain trends that are happening in the market.

Median price performance varies based on the different areas and neighborhoods across Oahu. For Condominiums, there are a few areas that continue an upward momentum in price. These areas include Downtown-Nuuanu, Ewa, Kaneohe, and Salt lake.  In addition to the 30 areas highlighted on the report, Prudential Locations tracks real estate data for over 200 unique neighborhoods across Oahu, many of which have their own unique trends. We encourage you to research neighborhoods that you are interested in.

By Jon Yamasato

Happy New Year! It’s important to me to keep you updated on the latest news and information regarding Hawaii real estate and I hope that these reports have benefited you in 2008.

One important point that I wanted to highlight in this month’s report is that mortgage rates are currently lower than 5%! If you’ve been considering buying a home now is a great time to take advantage of the low rates. More information can be found at the bottom of this email.

This month’s Oahu Real Estate Report recaps the 2008 sales activity for Oahu and for over 20 areas on Oahu:

  • Sales were down compared to 2007 numbers. The current sales pace is about half of it’s high point in 2004, when almost 13,000 residential properties were sold.
  • Compared to overall 2007 sales price numbers, Oahu single-family home prices went down about 3.1% to $625,000.
  • Condominium median prices remained flat at $325,000, no change from 2007.
  • Market performance varies by neighborhood so be sure to pay attention to our monthly reports. If you would like to see how your specific neighborhood performed this past year, please contact me.
Resales Median Price
ALL OAHU
2007
2008
% change
2007
2008
% change
Single-Family
3,557
2,692
-24.3%
$645,000
$625,000
-3.1%
Condominium
5,428
3,860
-28.9%
$325,000
$325,000
0%

If you would like to read the full report, please click the link below to download the full Oahu Real Estate Report.

Oahu Real Estate 2008 Recap Report - Click Here to View

By Tom McAuliffe

HONOLULU, HAWAII — The Grassroot Institute of Hawaii (GRIH) has released a new study from the Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University.

The Economic Impact of the Akaka Bill: Unintended Consequences for Hawaii estimates that the Akaka bill could cost the state up to $690 million per year in lost revenue.

The Native Hawaiian Government Reorganization Act of 2007 (S.310 and H.R.505) in the 110th Congress, also known as the Akaka Bill after sponsor Senator Daniel Akaka, proposes to create a sovereign Native Hawaiian Governing Entity (NHGE) within the state of Hawaii. This is the first study on the economic impacts of the proposed bill, which is expected to be re-introduced in the new session of Congress.

The Economic Impact of the Akaka Bill: Unintended Consequences for Hawaii is a straightforward look at how passage of the bill would hurt Hawaii business while pitting neighbor against neighbor,” said Grassroot Institute President Jamie Story. “Regardless of one’s feelings about the Akaka Bill and its benefits or shortcomings, it is vital to examine the economic impact of the bill on Hawaii’s people. This study demonstrates the irreversible economic damage the Akaka Bill would do to Hawaii, and we hope Washington DC officials will take this into consideration.”

Among the study’s findings:

• The bill could exempt Native Hawaiians living or shopping on land ceded from the state from paying state income and sales taxes.

• There may be a transfer of state-owned lands to persons designated as native Hawaiians to the detriment of non-Native Hawaiian taxpayers and, correspondingly, to the state economy. The resulting tax increases would have large, negative impacts on the state’s economy leading to a possible reduction of 20,793 private sector jobs, a loss of $417.2 million in investment and a loss of $1,461 in real per-capita disposable personal income annually.

“We’ve looked at the bill, as introduced in the last session of Congress, from many different angles and have provided an objective in-depth analysis of what the economic impacts might be on Hawaii and its citizens,” said Dr. David Tuerck, Executive Director of the Beacon Hill Institute and co-author of the study. “In The Economic Impact of the Akaka Bill: Unintended Consequences for Hawaii we’ve identified the most likely effects of the Akaka Bill on the Hawaiian economy. By almost any plausible interpretation of the bill, those effects are uniformly negative,” adds Paul Bachman, Director of Research at Beacon Hill.

The new The Economic Impact of the Akaka Bill: Unintended Consequences for Hawaii study is available free of charge at the Grassroot Institute web site. Please visit: http://www.grassrootinstitute.org/studies for more information.

Tom McAuliffe is the communications director for the GRIH. The mission of the Grassroot Institute of Hawaii is to promote individual liberty, free market economic principles and limited, more accountable government.

The Beacon Hill Institute engages in rigorous economic research producing readable analyses of current public policy issues for voters, taxpayers, opinion leaders and policy makers. Please also visit: http://www.beaconhill.org for more information on that organization.

Thanks to Jon Yamasato for ‘The State of the Real Estate- 2009 Forecast.’

Thanks to Matt Bowler for this yahoo finance article affirming this admittedly radical idea to help our ailing residential real estate market.

By Panos Prevedouros

The Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) of the City’s proposed rail system is the document that should provide answers to all reasonable impacts. It is available at all public libraries. It is also available at the city’s website honolulutransit.com along with a lot of the rail propaganda that your tax dollars paid for.

Below I list 20 simple but important questions. Does the DEIS answer them clearly?

  1. The bus routes will change. What happens to your route? What happens to express buses?
  2. Lanes will be taken away, some temporarily for construction and some permanently. Where are those lane closures and what is their duration? Are there traffic rerouting plans?
  3. Will there be bike racks on the train and where will they be located? Will bikes be allowed on the train? Will there be a place for surfboards? What about luggage? What about construction workers’ tools? Will there be a place for people to put large items they purchase at a big box retailer? What’s the size limitation?
  4. Will there be washrooms at the stations? How about convenience stores, vending machines? Will the platforms have seats? How many?
  5. Under land use, Aloun farms needs to relocate. Is that possible? Where will they go?
  6. A relatively simple job of sewer upgrades in Kailua and Kapiolani lead to the loss of businesses and jobs. Are details provided about similar effects during the construction of the rail?
  7. Is there a detailed plan for the effect of rail construction on water, sewer, gas and electric utilities? Will there be disruptions of service? Who pays for all these?
  8. About $107 million will be spent on the soft costs of this project. This “paperwork” cost is rather exorbitant for a single 20 mile rail line. How did $107 million get spent?
  9. The DEIS list of preparers for technical content shows that it was done almost exclusively with out-of-Hawaii engineers, planners and specialists. (See this document under Consultants: http://www.honolulutransit.org/library/files/end.pdf.) H-3 freeway was designed mostly with Hawaii based engineers. If Hawaii engineers are not able to design rail, who will supervise and build this unfamiliar-to-Oahu infrastructure?
  10. Rail construction involves unique skills and certifications that Hawaii construction workers do not have. How will this be addressed?
  11. The city has declared that in many cases only a portion of a parcel needs to be condemned and taken away. Can the business survive with the remaining portion? Are they forced to mandatory downsizing and some loss of employment?
  12. There are 16 schools that are adjacent to the alignment. Will the overhead structure, the continuous high current exposure and the intermittent noise and vibration affect the learning environment? Is it prudent to relocate the schools?
  13. Does rail fit our Hawaiian Sense of Place? How was the impact to tourism and local quality of life by a large elevated structure through town been assessed?
  14. Does the DEIS address the impacted vistas and scenery? Are the aesthetics of the structure and each station explained and presented adequately?
  15. What will happen in the event of a hurricane? Will the train operate? The train in Houston was shut down for 10 days due to hurricane Ike.
  16. BART in the Bay Area uses rail cars made of aluminum to combat corrosion. Is the city’s position that corrosion is not an issue?
  17. It appears that General Excise Tax surcharge proceeds for rail will be much lower than expected for at least four years in a row. How is this deficit going to be made up?
  18. If ridership turns out to be lower than forecast, then what? If the city is forced to provide free train rides like in Puerto Rico, how is the shortfall going to be covered?
  19. I heard that the Ala Moana station will now be at a lower elevation, at the west end of Kona Street and not above Nordstrom’s. What is the exact plan for the Ala Moana Center station and how is the train going to Waikiki and UH afterwards?
  20. Starting construction in Kapolei makes little sense. It may be expeditious and convenient but it is not smart. Why can’t a temporary rail yard be established near the airport or Aloha Stadium and build rail east into the city and west out to Kapolei simultaneously?

The billion dollar question that no DEIS could address is this: With President Obama at the helm and Senator Inouye chairing the Senate Appropriations Committee can we get four billion for rail? How about splitting the bill 50-50 with the feds? Other cities got a 50% or better federal match. Why does Honolulu get less than 25%?

These and many more questions require simple and clear answers.

In addition to the 429 page DEIS, the following files contain information and visuals. The City distributes them on a DVD.

  • Historic Resources.pdf
  • Land Use.pdf
  • Transportation Tech Report.pdf
  • Street Trees.pdf
  • Electric and Magnetic Fields Technical Report.pdf
  • Visual and Aesthetic Technical Report.pdf
  • Historic Appendix B.pdf
  • Cultural Resources.pdf
  • Economics.pdf
  • Geology, soils, farmlands, and natural hazardsTech Report.pdf
  • Haz Waste and Mat Tech Report Appendix A.pdf
  • Natural Resources.pdf
  • Noise&Vibration.pdf
  • Haz Waste and Mat Tech Report.pdf
  • tEISTravelForecasting ENTIRE.pdf
  • Community Impacts.pdf
  • Archaeological Resources.pdf
  • Water Resources.pdf
  • AQ&Energy.pdf

The City released this huge document just before the November 4 elections and in a period that includes the most holidays and days off. (The deadline for comment is January 7, 2009.) The hearings on the adequacy of the Alternatives Analysis were also conducted and concluded in the late November to late December 2006 period to make it as hard as possible for citizens to participate. (If it looks like a Banana Republic and acts like a Banana Republic …)

By Jon Yamasato

In an effort to keep you up to date on what’s happening in the real estate market, I wanted to share with you the latest Oahu Real Estate Activity Report for October 2008. Here are some highlights:

  • Real estate sales for single-family homes are down 20.8% for single-family homes and 26.6% for condominiums.
  • Median sale prices are down as well for both single-family homes and condominiums (-4.6% and 2.9% respectively).
  • The Oahu Real Estate Report for October’s second page content focuses on the reasons to be a buyer in this market. Reasons include taking advantage of the current interest rates, tax benefits and opportunities to build equity, credit and future wealth.

Areas around Oahu have mixed results in price appreciation due to each neighborhood’s unique market conditions. For more information on how your specific neighborhood performed this past month, please contact me.

Resales Median Price
ALL OAHU
Aug-Oct 08
Aug-Oct 07
% change
Aug-Oct 08
Aug-Oct 07
% change
Single-Family
689
870
-20.8%
$620,000
$650,000
-4.6%
Condominium
952
1,297
-26.6%
$320,000
$329,500
-2.9%

SPOTLIGHT: Reasons to Buy in this Market

The chart below illustrates how different interest rates affect your monthly mortgage payments and buying power. As interest rates increase your monthly mortgage increases and the property amount you can afford decreases. Taking advantage of the current low rates will save you money in the long term.

If you would like to read the full report, please click the link below to download the Oahu Real Estate Report.

Oahu Real Estate Activity Report - October 2008
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